DEVELOPMENT OF PROBABLE CRITERIA FOR SAFE MANAGEMENT OF SPECIAL TECHNIQUE OBJECTS 

Severtsev Nikolay Alekseevich, doctor of technical sciences, professor, chief researcher, Federal research center «Computer science and control» of RAS (Dorodnitsyn computer center of the Russian Academy of Sciences) (119333, 40 Vavilova street, Moscоw, Russia), E-mail: severs@ccas.ru
Betskov Aleksandr Viktorovich, doctor of technical sciences, associate professor, deputy chief, Management Academy of the Ministry of the Interior of the Russian Fereration (125171, 8 Zoi i Aleksandra Kosmodem'yanskikh street, Moscow, Russia), E-mail: abckov@mail.ru
Darina Anna Nikolaevna, candidate of physical and mathematical sciences, associate professor, leading researcher, Federal research center «Computer science and control» of RAS (Dorodnitsyn computer center of the Russian Academy of Sciences) (119333, 40 Vavilova street, Moscоw, Russia), Е-mail: daryina@ccas.ru 

338.24.01 

10.21685/2307-4205-2019-2-1 

Traditional scientific thought is mainly based on Aristotle’s logic and oriented to accurate quantitative methods of analysis. These methods put equal-sign between ambiguity and accident and it is impossible to recognize the ambiguity connected with person, technique and environment due to illegibility of the last. According Zade’sincompatibility principle [1] on top level of system’s complexity accuracy and the reliability of evaluation applications of system behavior become mutually exclusive characteristics, i.e. the attempt of making danger of man-machine-environment systems evaluation accurate and simultaneously may be illusory task, while deciding it traditional methods of reliability do not work. Zade indicates [1]: “In spite of the fact that ordinary mathematical apparatus is applied and will be applied for searching “person-systems”, it is clear that huge complexity of these systems require such system approaches, which are essentially different from considerably traditional methods which are quite effective, if they are applied to the mechanical systems, but are too inexact to systems, in which behaviour of the person plays an important role”. Moreover Back believes that “ to make a reliable conclusion regarding behaviour of the personsystem, it is possibly required to decline high standards of strictness and accuracy, to which they accustomed in traditional mathematical analysis of well structured mechanical systems, and become more tolerant with reference to approaches being approximate”. However, authors believe that the theory of matrixes and the theory of indistinct plenty such can solve so complicated tasks, as the management of the special equipment objects, and the task of operators quality education, in particular. In the article on the basis of theory of matrix theoretical and practical knowledge of the operator (crew) for safe control of system of defensive equipment are defined. 

matrixes, levels, operator knowledges, control, probability, exponent, rating guaranteed evaluations